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Dollar Weakens as Fed Stands Pat on Rates
By Daniel Bases
NEW YORK (Reuters) March 16- An already weak dollar fell further
on Tuesday after the U.S. Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged
and indicated more caution on the U.S. economy, diminishing prospects
of a dollar-positive interest rate hike.
In its post-meeting statement, the Fed note continuing weakness
in U.S. job creation, which has dulled the prospect of higher interest
rates any time soon.
Higher rates would make dollar-based assets more attractive to
foreign investors.
"With U.S. rates set to remain low for months to come and
U.S. yields remaining relatively unattractive ... this should be
supportive for the euro versus the dollar," said Rebecca Patterson,
currency strategist at J.P. Morgan Chase in New York.
The euro bounced up and down after the Fed's statement, trading
to a session low around $1.2239 (EUR=: Quote, Profile, Research)
, according to Reuters data, before climbing back to the unchanged
mark of $1.2271. Patterson said topside resistance for the euro
is around $1.2385.
"Recall that in the last statement the Fed said other indicators
are leading to an improvement in the labor market. The Fed has dropped
that completely and now all they're saying is that the labor market
is lagging ... So this statement is mainly dollar-negative,"
said Richard Franulovich, senior currency strategist at Westpac
Banking Corp in New York.
The dollar was already down sharply against the yen on market speculation
the Japanese Ministry of Finance could be poised to cut back on
its large yen-selling/dollar-buying intervention operations.
Japan has kept the dollar from plunging by being a steady buyer
of dollars to offset speculative selling of greenbacks and keep
the yen from strengthening.
Japanese officials denied any change in currency policy, although
a comment by Bank of Japan Governor Toshihiko Fukui that irregular
currency moves had abated was interpreted by some as indicating
a more relaxed stance on the yen's strength.
Japan's Nikkei Financial Daily reported late on Monday that Japan
may stop currency intervention.
"The BOJ (Bank of Japan) isn't there, so the dollar's going
to fall," said Ralph DelZenero, vice president for foreign
exchange at Bank One in Chicago. "Markets are trying to see
what's down there and they're not seeing Japanese names. They think
the dollar is worth closer to 100 yen than 110," he added.
Haruhiko Kuroda, special adviser to Japanese Prime Minister Junichiro
Koizumi, said in Washington on Tuesday that Japan was responding
to domestic policy concerns through currency interventions, given
the negative impact a stronger yen has on falling domestic prices.
The dollar fell to three-week lows against the Japanese currency
after the Fed announcement, hitting 108.65 yen (JPY=: Quote, Profile,
Research) , a loss of 1.45 percent on the day according to Reuters
data. The euro dropped to 133.33 yen (EURJPY=: Quote, Profile, Research)
, off 1.50 percent.
The euro gained from the dollar's weakness, shrugging off an unexpectedly
sharp fall in German investor expectations.
Germany's ZEW institute said its gauge of economic expectations
fell in March, for the third straight month, to its lowest level
since last summer. It blamed the fall on concerns over the pace
of Europe's economic recovery, particularly after last week's deadly
bombings in Madrid.
The dollar traded at 1.2777 francs (CHF=: Quote, Profile, Research)
, down 0.20 percent while sterling rose 0.34 percent to $1.8116.
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